Growth, inflation, employment, rates, government debt, trade balance, and deficit. Live from FRED.
Macro health heatmap
GDP
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CPI
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Unemployment
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Fed Funds
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Rates & Fed policy
US Treasuries yield curve
FOMC dot plot
Rate expectations
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Implied rates from CME 30-day Fed Funds futures, priced continuously by the market. Odds compare each meeting’s implied step against a standard 0.25pp move.
Interest rates
Fed Funds -
10Y Treasury -
30Y Mortgage -
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Policy & money-market rates
Fed funds target range -
Effective fed funds (EFFR) -
Interest on reserves (IORB) -
Overnight reverse repo (ON RRP) -
SOFR -
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Fed funds rate
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Monthly average, latest point is the current target midpoint.
10-year Treasury yield
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Monthly constant-maturity yield.
30-year mortgage rate
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Weekly survey average, plotted monthly.
Prime rate
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What banks charge their best borrowers; credit cards and home-equity lines are priced off it.
Growth & output
US GDP
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Nominal GDP, current dollars, annualized (updated quarterly).
GDP growth
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Real GDP, QoQ annualized rate.
Trade balance
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Net exports of goods and services, in $ billions (updated quarterly).
US population
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Total US resident population, in millions (updated monthly).
Inflation
Inflation
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CPI YoY (all items) · Fed avg target ~2%.
Core CPI -
Everyday inflation: the prices you actually pay
Groceries, gasoline, electricity and rent, each year-over-year, versus headline CPI (the gray line). When the colored lines run above the gray one, real life is inflating faster than the official average.
Unofficial inflation: Truflation daily index
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Truflation US inflation, YoY.
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vs official CPI YoY.
An independent daily index built from live commercial price data, not the BLS survey. When Truflation runs well below the official CPI, the official number usually drifts down toward it over the following months (and vice versa). The gap is the signal.
Jobs & wages
Labor market: supply, demand & price
Unemployment rate
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% of labor force without a job.
Job openings rate
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Open jobs as % of total employment.
Hires rate
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Monthly hires as % of employment.
Real wage growth
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Median weekly real earnings, year-over-year growth (updated quarterly).
Median household income
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Real median household income, annual (inflation-adjusted dollars).
Household credit
Loan delinquency rates
Share of balances 30+ days past due at all US commercial banks, by loan type (updated quarterly). Rising delinquencies are an early sign of household stress. Heads up: this is the all-banks 30+ day rate (cards run ~3%). The 7-8% figures in the headlines are a different cut: smaller banks outside the top 100, or the NY Fed's 90+ day "serious delinquency" transition.
Credit cards
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Mortgages
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All loans & leases
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Transition into serious delinquency (90+ days)
Annualized share of balances newly rolling into 90+ days past due, by loan type, quarterly since 2003.
Share of household debt in any stage of delinquency
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Money & liquidity
Money supply & liquidity
Monetary base (M0)
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Currency in circulation plus bank reserves at the Fed, in $ billions (updated monthly).
Monetary base (M0) growth
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M0 year-over-year growth (updated monthly).
Money supply (M2)
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Total M2 money stock, in $ trillions (updated monthly).
Money supply (M2) growth
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M2 year-over-year growth (updated monthly).
Fed balance sheet
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Total Fed assets, in $ trillions (updated weekly).
Government & the budget
Government finances
Government spending growth
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Federal spending year-over-year growth, in % (updated quarterly).
Debt / GDP
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Federal debt as % of GDP (updated quarterly).
Federal deficit
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Surplus (+) or deficit (−) over the last 12 months, in $ billions (updated monthly).
Personal savings rate
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Personal saving as % of disposable income (updated monthly).
Federal spending by category
Private capital dry powderas of Q1 2026
Uncalled committed capital at the largest publicly-traded private-equity managers, the closest free proxy for total US PE dry powder. Sum of these five firms represents ~50-60% of the industry.
BX · Blackstone
$200B
vs Q4: +16%
KKR
$115B
vs Q4: +6%
APO · Apollo
$73B
vs Q4: +9%
BAM · Brookfield
$111B
vs Q4: +1%
ARES · Ares
$156B
vs Q4: +64%
Top 5 combined
$655B
~50-60% of total US private-market dry powder (Bain estimates the industry total at ~$2.5T including all PE/VC/infrastructure)
Source: each firm's most recent quarterly disclosures (uncalled commitments / "available capital"); figures approximate and definitions vary slightly by firm (e.g. Ares' "available capital" spans its credit franchises). Updated quarterly. Industry context: Bain & Co Global Private Equity Report.
Sources: live indicators from FRED. Serious-delinquency and household-debt delinquency charts: NY Fed Household Debt & Credit report, 2026 Q1, released May 2026 (Consumer Credit Panel / Equifax), updated with each quarterly report. The student-loan figure is a four-quarter moving sum, and "delinquent" = 100% minus the share of balances current; the 30+ day delinquency charts are live from FRED. Federal spending by category: live from the US Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS), figures rounded to the nearest billion; FYTD = fiscal-year-to-date, and the US fiscal year runs Oct 1 to Sep 30.
About this page
Every headline US economic indicator on one page, charted from the official statistical releases: real GDP growth, CPI inflation, unemployment, the Fed Funds rate, money supply, industrial production, consumer sentiment, government debt and more, each with its full published history.
Levels matter less than direction. An unemployment rate of 4% means one thing while falling and another while rising, and most recession signals live in the turn of a trend rather than in any single print. The charts here are built to make those turns visible.
Frequently asked questions
How often does US economic data update?
Each series follows its official release schedule: CPI and payrolls monthly, GDP quarterly, jobless claims weekly. Charts here update as soon as the agencies publish.
What is FRED?
Federal Reserve Economic Data, the public database maintained by the St. Louis Fed. It aggregates the official US statistical series that these charts draw from.
Which indicators lead the economy?
Jobless claims, the yield curve, building permits and manufacturing new orders historically turn before the broad economy does, which is why recession models watch them closely.